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A handful of others wore shirts displaying the same message as county Dems gathered for a barbecue in the Brookside section of this Morris County town. And yet post- Dobbs , it is these same center- and center-right swing voters, especially white women, who political commentators are relying on to define November’s electoral outcome, expecting them to switch parties away from their reliable GOP home. This was political folly in Texas in 2014, and it was political folly nationally in 2016, and it will be political folly in 2022. Certainly it is possible that Republican women are angry about the end of abortion rights, even as they have spent years voting for lawmakers who promised to end same. It is very hard to affirmatively change a long-held political affiliation in a matter of weeks or months, and especially hard to accept that hardships you thought other people deserved might soon apply to you and your family. Those realizations are meaningful, but bound to encounter more than a few months’ worth of resistance. Whatever right-wing Christian legislators— mostly men —would have us believe, there is not a significant religious divide in the United States in terms of who actually has abortions. To the contrary: The vast majority of Americans who have abortions identify as Christians. Don’t take my word for it: The overwhelmingly Christian, and specifically evangelical and Catholic, anti-abortion movement admits as much . I’m not citing that statistic as a gotcha; it’s just the plain truth. I personally believe that people of any and every faith who seek to not be pregnant when they don’t want to be, or can’t be, shouldn’t be forced by the government to give birth or die trying—even if they believe that, writ large, other people should be forced by the government to stay pregnant against their will. The high court ruling opened a Pandora’s box of horrors and GOP ideological excesses that eliminated reproductive rights for millions of women living in the South and the Mountain West. Now Graham wants to extend a ban nationwide. And then there was this: Of those who showed up to vote in Kansas on Tuesday, a whopping 20% of them ONLY voted on the abortion proposal — and left the rest of the entire ballot BLANK!
It’s November, and while many Final Fantasy XIV players are struggling to decide whether to brave Aloalo Island to secure every path, or grind out their Island Sanctuary, Roegadyn players are making their own content. That’s because it’s Roevember, a month celebrating all things Roegadyn. Sherrill seemed to be referencing her opponent, former Assistant Passaic County Prosecutor Paul DeGroot, who has said he agrees with the Supreme Court’s decision but who has also called himself a “pro-choice Republican.” In fact, a delegation from DeGroot’s campaign came to today’s rally, though the candidate himself was unable to attend. The (mostly) men who pass abortion bans do so with the political help of white women voters who (wrongly) believe that we and our daughters will always be able to access the uniquely righteous abortions to which we are entitled and others are not. Given that my opponent said it was proper to overturn Roe, and given that he thinks it’s ok for a state to fully ban abortion with no exceptions … I don’t think he is pro-choice,” Sherrill said. But there's more. For decades, media scholars have described what they call the "protest paradigm." These are the predictable patterns journalists follow when covering protests. They include, for example, a habit of focusing on "small, inappropriate samples of individual protesters," which leads the audience to misunderstand the true nature of the larger movement. The protest paradigm also refers to the news media's habit of allowing elites to frame the story, which misses the positions of average citizens. Even worse, Indiana University professor Danielle Brown explains that this type of coverage "favors spectacle, conflict, disruption and official narratives over the substance of movements that challenge the status quo."Still, Roevember is definitely alive and well, especially on Tumblr. Both the #Roevember and #Roevember FFXIV tags are very active there. So here is the unsurprising, uncomplicated reality of abortion in this country: The majority of Americans support abortion access and most people who have abortions align themselves with religious groups that either explicitly seek to outlaw abortion or that doctrinally disavow abortion as a pregnancy choice. I call this tension “uncomplicated” because when most folks do not want to be pregnant, evidence shows that they will seek not to be, whatever their political or religious persuasion. People’s actual actions around abortion show that they believe in their own access to it, whether or not they’d admit it to a pollster, or ever vote for pro-choice lawmakers. And lots of other folks have no religious qualms with abortion at all! Yet here we are, a nation of people who have long believed that our government shouldn’t force people to stay pregnant against their will, staring down total abortion bans in over a dozen states and significant restrictions in a half-dozen more, because voter suppression, disenfranchisement, gerrymandering, and abortion stigma have deeply warped the way that the U.S. regulates, and, in many cases, outlaws abortion care. Further, if the news media tells you the results are a foregone conclusion , that also depresses turnout. I mean, if you are told over and over again that you are going to lose no matter what you do, why bother voting? Even more important, research shows that if the media suggests an election will be close, turnout increases. Some scholars have speculated that the fact that right-wing news outlets reported that the election was close in 2016 elevated the Trump vote, while smug reporting from more liberal outlets, assuming Clinton would win easily, depressed her vote.
It’s been all downhill for the GOP ever since the sad and mournful day of the Dobbs decision. Graham just added fuel to the fire that incinerated the fading GOP dream of a big win in November. The most recent hit to GOP was a Democratic victory in a special congressional election in a competitive suburban district in New York. The winning Democratic candidate, Pat Ryan, made his campaign a referendum on the Dobbs decision, and it paid off big time. The new member of Congress might have won an even more decisive victory if Graham had proposed his national abortion ban before the special election We can observe many of the same habits when the press covers elections. And given that this election in particular could be understood as a protest vote — protesting the assault on women's rights, LGBTQ rights, immigrants' rights, democratic rights, etc. — it makes sense to think of this election more in terms of a mass movement than as an example of democracy as usual. Another unlikely victory came in an August special election in upstate New York’s 19th congressional district. Democrat Pat Ryan, running with a near singular focus on abortion rights, edged out his Republican opponent in a swing district where President Biden won only narrow support in 2020. Women in states like California, Illinois and New York who thought they had nothing to fear from draconian state bans on reproductive rights in places like Texas, Idaho and Alabama now have lots to worry about, thanks to the ranking member of the Senate Judiciary Committee.Now, a new poll shows that Roevember isn’t going to happen. Why not? Because Republican women are more likely to vote in the 2022 midterm elections than Democratic women or Independent women, according to a new Morning Consult poll released on Friday. A national poll conducted for the Wall Street Journal just before Labor Day indicated the nullification of Roe v. Wade had replaced the economy as the issue most likely to drive voters to the polls. The survey also showed that Democrats have a 20-point edge over the GOP on abortion policy.
Last Tuesday, when nearly two-thirds of that state voted to keep abortion legal, the turnout was so huge it nearly doubled the number of voters who participated in the last off-year primary election in 2018 — and nearly TRIPLED the turnout from 2014 . There is a colossal uprising underway right now and it doesn’t involve an armed mob storming the Capitol, or a mass shooting at a July 4th parade, or guys I went to high school with trying to kidnap the governor of Michigan.
Truth #16 : As Alex Jones has now been fined a billion dollars for his lies, that is nothing compared to the punishment other Republicans are going to get on November 8th. In the Keystone State, Dr. Mehmet Oz, who already seems out-of-touch with his recent comments about his 10 houses and with his disastrous shopping trip to “Wegmer’s” (he meant either Wegman’s or Redner’s,) for “crudités” (he meant “veggie platter”), is down by 11 points to the popular and affable Lt. Gov. John Fetterman. Oz’s position on abortion isn’t helping. According to PolitiFact , Oz supported the overturning of Roe and favors states setting their own abortion policies. That has real ramifications in Pennsylvania, where extremist GOP gubernatorial candidate Doug Mastriano could sign abortion restrictions enacted by the Republican controlled legislature if elected. The two-term congresswoman has aired two TV ads so far on abortion, including one that says “women will die” if DeGroot’s policies were put into practice. DeGroot, who has comparatively struggled with fundraising, has yet to air ads. In his next "tsunami of truth," Moore reminded readers that despite all the ways that the media tends to make the American right seem massively powerful, they're really just a big bunch of losers. Republicans have lost the popular vote in seven of the eight last presidential elections. As Moore explains it, "Only because of the slave states' demand for the Electoral College — and the Republicans' #1 job of gerrymandering and voter suppression — do we even have to still deal with their misogyny, their destruction of Planet Earth, their love of guns and greed, and their laser-focused mission to bury our Democracy."
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