Dairy Diary 2023: Loved by 25 million since its launch, this edition is better than ever! A unique and useful A5 week-to-view diary with 52 delicious triple-tested weekly recipes and much more.

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The summit delivered four days of dynamic programming, including eight main sessions and 21 break-out sessions focused on policy, scientific and technical insights and exclusive market analysis. IDF also released the World Dairy Situation Report 2023 , its 2022-23 annual report and announced the winners of its second annual IDF Dairy Innovation Awards, which celebrate and encourage innovative practices across the world. High input costs and low milk prices ought to be a deterrent to milk production but for now, with forage being readily available, production has stayed afloat. Our latest forecast for the 2023/24 milk season estimates that GB milk production will be flat compared to last year, with production likely to begin to falling after August.

Agricultural inflation levels have eased a lot since earlier in the year but many input costs remain at high levels and the continued declines in milk prices are impacting on farmers decision making with little appetite to push yields. Farmgate milk prices reported by Defra have stabilised for August, settling at 36.2ppl, a far cry from a year ago when prices were 23.9% higher.August saw prices soften on global dairy wholesale markets barring some gains in butter, WMP and cheese markets in US. Milk production remains seasonally low with demand continuing to be weak. Some revival of demand is hoped for after the summer holidays. Conversely, milk production has increased in that time. The average yield a cow has more than doubled and the average herd size has increased fourfold. Global production is not helping matters. Estimated global milk deliveries for May (the latest available data period) in our key production regions indicate production growth of 1.1% year-on-year. According to latest forecasts, however, estimated global milk production is expected to flatten off in 2023 to end the year at only 0.1% up. The company believes these trends will continue, although yield increases may slow significantly, resulting in a small decline in UK output.

The model is based on milking a little over 200 cows, calving year round on 130ha (of which 60ha are on a farm business tenancy). Proprietor labour with one full-time worker (plus casual/relief) Looking further ahead, Andersons predicts the number of dairy farmers will continue to decline over the next decade, as will cow numbers. The situation is similar in the UK. Here, despite higher production volumes of cheese, exports increased year on year, tightening availability relative to the previous year. Butter availability is unchanged year on year, while milk powders saw a small increase due to the drop-off in both production and exports.Future success of the industry will probably continue to depend on ensuring the consumer is properly informed about the world-class standards of health and welfare achieved by UK dairy farmers, and the importance of dairy as a natural component of a well-balanced diet. In the longer term, look to maintain and build consumer trust, demonstrating where farming values (animal welfare, environmental stewardship and expertise) are shared with consumers. See our consumer reputation landscape hub for more information. Global dairy processing opportunities and challenges, featuring Philip Vanderpol, Chair (Dairy Processors Association of Canada) and President and Chief Executive Officer (Vitalus Nutrition Inc.); Mike Durkin, President and Chief Executive Officer, (Leprino Foods); Claudio Rodriguez, Executive Director and Chairman of the Board (Gloria Group); Zhanyou Yun, Vice President (Yili Group); and, Heike Steiling, PhD, Head of Nestlé Product Technology Centers Dairy (Nestlé). However, both will reduce at a slower rate than the long-term trend (see “Structural change in the UK dairy herd”); over the past 50 years, for example, 87% of dairy herds have disappeared. Organic production is already falling as the factors of falling demand, higher costs and lower prices are exaggerated and felt more keenly in the organic sector.

On retailer aligned contracts there was some minor positivity. Tesco and M&S held their prices for the month, while Sainsbury’s and Co-op announced increases of 0.34ppl and 0.12ppl respectively. However, family businesses often see this as a price worth paying, providing flexibility and an acceptable lifestyle on what is effectively a 24/7 operation. Legislation IDF’s collaboration with international standard setting bodies, featuring Jamie Jonker, Chair (Chief Science Officer, National Milk Producers Federation); Raj Rajasekar, Vice Chair (Codex Alimentarius Commission); Paul Mennecier, Chair, (ISO Technical Committee on Food Products); and, Caroline Emond, Director General (International Dairy Federation). The industry desperately needs a single standard. This should include emissions and sequestration, so that the true greenhouse gas output of the dairy sector is understood. According to the latest delivery data for the key milk producing regions [1], global production returned to growth in September 2022 after 12 consecutive months of declines. Recovery in production in European countries, combined with growth in the US, was at the centre of the turnaround as southern hemisphere regions continue to record year on year drops.There remain opportunities for growth however, by focussing on the attributes of dairy which remain linked to consumer priorities. As it has been since the first World Dairy Congress held in 1903 in Brussels, the IDF WDS has been an unmatched opportunity to collaborate on the most promising opportunities and most important challenges in the dairy sector,” Brazzale said. “The hard work and dedication of everyone in the dairy sector produces delicious, nutritious, and simply irreplaceable food that feeds more than 6 billion consumers and sustains one billion livelihoods globally.” Before this, GB production had been running below year-ago figures since July 2021, although the year on year growth recorded in March through June was more to do with the sharp enforced reductions in the spring of 2020. An unfavourable milk-to-feed-price ratio, driven by rising feed costs and stagnant farmgate prices, was the key driver of lower yields in the autumn of 2021, although labour shortages will also have played a role. Margin pressures then worsened as global energy prices spiked, with the situation exacerbated by the outbreak of the war in Ukraine. The increase in milk prices through 2022 helped to offset the rising costs and supported improved yields in the final months of the year. Technology is almost certain to help in this area, with the main focus likely to be on feeding and genetics.